Nonpoint Projections Task Force
Co-Leads
Andy Bollman (NCDEQ) and Lindsay Dayton (EPA)Schedule
- 20 Nov 2023 (3:00-4:00pm EST): Kickoff Meeting
- Proposed Emission Projection Methods Comments - Provide by 4 December 2023
- 7 Dec 2023 (10:00-11:00am EST): NP Projections Meeting #2
- 22 Jan 2024 (3:00pm-4:00pmEST): NP Projections Meeting #3
- TBA: NP Projections Meeting #4
Call Notes
Meeting 1: November 20, 2023
Agenda with Notes
- Introductions
- Timeline Goals
- Have final review/decisions for 2020 to 2022 recommended projection methods by end of December or early January
- Focus on analytical years from 2022 on afterwards in the beginning of 2024
- Discuss the Summary of Proposed Emission Projection Methods by Source Category table (see 'Table of Documents' at bottom of page)
- Discuss timeline for next meeting
- Next meeting will occur before the end of the year after the Work Group's overall meeting on 6 December 2023
- We will discuss comments on the Summary of Proposed Emission Projection Methods in the next meeting
Action Items
- Go through the Proposed Emission Projection Methods table and do the following in a copy of your own in Yellow:
- Rank the source categories by priority with 1 being the highest and 3 being the lowest
- Comment "Yes" to source categories you believe have potentially significant COVID impacts - or remove any existing "Yes" identifier if there's no potentially significant impacts
- Provide comments on recommended methods/data to develop the 2022 emissions and any additional input on the above entries
- For reference, the summaries of the methods used to adjust historical years reflect the following previous modeling platforms:
- 2016v1 – methods that were generally used to grow 2014 emissions to 2016 (see column H)
- 2016v3 – methods that were generally used to back-cast 2017 emissions to 2016 (see columns I thru K)
- 2019 – methods that were generally used to grow 2017 emissions to 2019 (see columns M thru O)
Meeting 2: December 07, 2023
Agenda with Notes- Recap of previous meeting
- Brief explanation of fields for methods, prioritization, COVID implications, and comments
- Discuss comments made on the categorization/methodology of Sectors and their Source Categories
- We reviewed which source categories should be prioritized, may have substantial COVID impacts, and how the group should approach each projection method
- Next meeting info
- A meeting will be scheduled for 22 January 2024
Action Items
- Continue looking through the emissions projection methods and send comments if any arise
- Co-chairs will consolidate and summarize comments and the discussion in a file of Proposed Projections for the task force (see 'Table of Documents' at bottom of page)
- Respond to a poll to plan the next date/time for the next meeting once doodle poll is sent out
Meeting 3: January 22, 2024
Agenda with Notes- Recap of previous meeting
- Discussion to begin solidifying the proposed projections
- A draft of the final 2020-2022 Nonpoint Projection Methods will be created by co-leads based on the discussion (see 'Table of Documents' at bottom of page)
- Next meeting info
- A meeting will be scheduled for ...
Action Items
- Review the final draft of the 2020-2022 Nonpoint Projection Methods once the co-leads have completed it
- Brainstorm ideas for approaching how to develop projection methods for analytic years
- Respond to a poll to plan the next date/time for the next meeting once doodle poll is sent out
Meeting 4: TBA
Agenda with Notes- Discuss any comments and finalize the draft of the final 2022 projections methods
- Discuss plans for how to approach developing the projection methods for analytic years.
Action Items
Table of Documents
| File Name | Date | File Attachment |
| Summary of Proposed Emissions Projection Methods by Source Category | 22 Nov 2023 | Download File |
| Sector SCC Summaries | 22 Nov 202 | Download File |
| Initial 2022 NP Proposed Projections | 12 Dec 2023 | Download File |
| Draft of Final 2020-2022 Nonpoint Projection Methods | 07 Feb 2024 | Download File |