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Modeling

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Collaborative Wiki Main Page

Inventory Collaborative Google Drive Link

Members

Co-leads: Zac Adelman (LADCO), Eric Zalewsky (NY DEC)

Ron Thomas (TCEQ), Doug Boyer (TCEQ), Weining Zhao (TCEQ), Zarena Post (TCEQ), Miranda Kosty (TCEQ), Jeff Vukovich (EPA OAQPS), Alison Eyth (EPA OAQPS), Caroline Farkas (EPA OAQPS), Winston Hao (NY DEC), Jeongran Yun (NY DEC), Michael Woodman (MD Dept Env), Tom Moore (WESTAR/WRAP), Mark Hixon (CARB), Tim Allen (US FWS), Margaret McCourtney (MN PCA), Mark Janssen (LADCO), Jennifer Liljegren (US EPA Region 5), Kathleen Errington (NH DES), Kelly Petersen (LA DEQ), Jin-sheng Lin (VA DEQ), Shan He (NJ DEP), Susan McCusker (MARAMA), Kristen Stumpf (VA DEQ), Jim Boylan (GA DNR), Byeong Kim (GA DNR), Di Tian (GA DNR), KJ Liao (GA DNR), Wei Zhang (ID DEQ), Stephen Lachance (MI DEQ), Tom Shanley (MI DEQ), Shawn McClure (CIRA), Rodger Ames (CIRA), Kevin Briggs (CO)

Call Schedule

Date/Time: 4th Tuesday of the month @ 3:00 p.m. Eastern.

Call in number: 646-749-3122

Access Code: 901-602-909# (no audio pin)

Workplan

The national Emissions Collaborative Modeling Workgroup is responsible for testing and preparing the data platforms created by each of the inventory sector workgroups for use in air quality modeling. Along with preparing the data for modeling, this workgroup will prepare a modeling platform distribution package that includes all of data, software, and documentation needed to prepare base and future year emissions for air quality modeling simulations.

The primary work areas for this group, with objectives for each area include:

Testing and Platform Development

  • Format Checks: Check that the inventory and ancillary data formats for the data produced by each sector workgroup will work with SMOKE (or other emissions processing tool)
  • Modeling Protocol: Establish a modeling protocol that defines a modeling domain and time period for testing the processing of the Collaborative data products
  • Data Collection: Collect and collate of the non-emissions data, such as WRF output, needed for processing the emissions through SMOKE
  • SMOKE Modeling: Run through SMOKE the data from each inventory sector and create air quality model-ready emissions for a test domain and time period
  • Data Validation: Work with the sector workgroup co-leads to compare the processed emissions with pre-SMOKE inventory summaries, and compare the processed data with SMOKE output from other, recent emissions modeling platforms (e.g., EPA's 2014v2 platform)

Platform Packaging

  • EMF Platform Development: Work with EPA OAQPS to create an Emissions Modeling Framework modeling platform with the Collaborative 2016 (and future year) emissions data
  • Platform Distribution Package: Create a modeling platform distribution of the Collaborate base and future year emissions with the same level of completeness and documentation as EPA developed for their "EN" modeling platform
  • Distribution Package Testing: Test the script-based platform distribution to ensure that users can process these data outside of the EMF
  • Platform Customization: Develop and document an approach for substituting inventory sectors in the platform distribution package. User's need to be able to fairly easily substitute sector versions (e.g., alpha vs beta for nonpoint, or MEGAN vs BEIS for biogenics) to create customized emissions platforms.
  • Quality Assurance: Make sure totals equals the sum of the parts

Documentation and Evaluation

  • Sector Workgroup Feedback: Review the documentation of the data products from each sector workgroup and provide comments to the workgroup co-leads on where improvements or additional information are needed
  • Collaborative Platform Documentation: Ensure that the platform distribution packages have sufficient documentation to enable new users of the packages to install the accompanying data/software, and process the data through SMOKE.
  • Air Quality Modeling: Need for an objective evaluation of the emissions by running through air quality model and comparison to obs
  • User Feedback: How can we get feedback on different studies that use these data; different configurations, performance evaluations, etc.; put out a best practices guidance for using that data that includes a request for information back to the collaborative

Modeling Workgroup Meetings

September 27, 2019

Action Items

  • WG members: volunteer to review a spec sheet, review, and provide comments back to authors

Attendees Zac, Mark (LADCO), Winston , Jeongran (NY DEC), Alison, Caroline (EPA OAQPS), MIcheal (MD), Jin (VA DEQ), Byeong (GA DNR), Stephen (MI DEQ), Shan (NJ DEP), Margaret (MN), Kathleen (NH), Jin (VA), Byeong (GA),

Agenda

  1. Round-table update from WG members
  2. Documentation review assignments

Call Notes Round table check in on the activities of the group

  • LADCO - processing 2016v1 data on to three grids, Mark is documenting the SMOKE processing notes on a LADCO wiki; differences in the standard SMOKE scripts and the EPA platform scripts; SMOKE exec issues had LADCO needing to recompile SMOKE natively on our cluster; LADCO is processing the data with tags and converting the emissions to point sources for "USSA" modeling
  • EPA found SMOKE spheroid problems that required reprocessing of all point sources (led to errors of up to 1-km in the placement of point sources); earth spheroid was not being initialized properly by I/O API; either use an older version of I/O API (pre-3.2) or a newer version of SMOKE (4.7b); EPA reprocessed all of the point sources for v1;
  • NY - downloaded base inventories and platform, starting to look at these; OTC is working to process the emissions with different tagging schemes; pre-compiled SMOKE worked on NY computing platform

Documentation review assignments

  • Beta wiki includes final documentation, including future year data
  • Word versions are available as well and EPA is starting with the future year spec sheets, and updating for version 1, including improvements and integrating comments from beta; some spec sheet updates will use track changes from the beta version forward
  • Drafts from some sectors are ready (fires and biogenic)
  • Contractors tabulating emissions for v1 now
  • Some changes have come in over the last 2 weeks, so anything downloaded before now is out of date
  • EPA's plan is for early next week to add new tables into the spec sheets; will release new tables for plotting as well
  • Once the tables are updated, the documents will be made available to review for this WG
  • EPA will post Word versions to G-Drive, and will notify this group when they're available; EPA updates for v1 will not all have track changes, but can use Word file compare; WG volunteers will use track changes to edit the draft v1 spec sheets, and then return these spec sheets to the authors
  • Future year inventory data will be available next week, will take a couple of weeks to release the scripts
  • Documentation Assignments
    • MEGAN - no need to review
    • BEIS - EricWinston MI ?NY
    • Onroad - Zac LADCO
    • Rail -
    • Nonroad - EricJeongran NY ?
    • C1/C2 & C3 - Mark LADCO
    • RWC -
    • nonpoint -
    • nonpoint afdust -
    • nonpoint ag -
    • nonpoint oil & gas - Zac LADCO
    • Can/Mexico -
    • point oil & gas - Zac LADCO
    • point fires ag + wf&rx - Zac LADCO
    • point non-EGU - Michael MD
    • point airports - Michael MD
    • point IPM - Mark LADCO
    • point ERTAC EGU - Eric NY?NY

Next call: Tuesday 10/15 @ 3:00 Eastern (rescheduled from 10/22 to avoid CMAS)

September 3, 2019 (Rescheduled from August 27)

Action Items

  • Zac: create a list of the sectors with documentation status, incl volunteers for review

Attendees Zac, Mark (LADCO), Eric , Jeongran (NY DEC), Doug (TCEQ), Jeff, Alison, Caroline (EPA OAQPS), Jin (VA DEQ), Byeong (GA DNR), Stephen (MI DEQ), Shan (NJ DEP), Margaret (MN), Mark (CARB), Tom (WRAP/WESTAR)

Agenda

  1. Round table check in on the activities of the group: what have you been working on WRT the 2016 platform?
  2. Review 2016v1 release schedule
  3. Developments with 2016v1 documentation for review

Call Notes Round table check in on the activities of the group

  • NY: Send AMET/Sitecmp comparisons of biogenic sensitivity to LADCO; working with VA on ERTAC model processing, packaging, and documentation;
  • LADCO: Issues with using SMOKEv4.7 execs on our computing system, Centosv6 doesn't work with the new SMOKE execs, which were built on RHEL7; native compile with Intel compiler, limited success with Gfortran build and no success with PGI build; testing 2016v1 scripts, integrating USSA processing into the scripts, working on adding LADCO modeling grids; developed an R script for interpolating inventories, NY DEC would like to get a copy of this script

Developments with 2016v1

  • EPA expects to have all data and scripts, including documentation and future years by the end of the month
  • Eventually EPA will also provide SMOKE outputs to the IWDW
  • Report files for plotting are being generated now
  • Zac to develop a list of the sectors with the documentation status; will be looking for modeling WG volunteers to review the spec sheets

Next call: Friday 9/27 @ 2:00 Eastern

July 23, 2019

Action Items

  • LADCO: work with NY to create AMET analyses of their biogenic sensitivity modeling
  • LADCO: request hemispheric CMAQ plots from EPA
  • LADCO: request site compare species mapping used by EPA for 2016beta MPE workg
  • LADCO: add space to Google Drive (regional@LADCO)
  • EPA: post 2016v1 sector inventories, reports, and plots as they become available

Attendees Zac, Mark (LADCO), Eric , Winston, Jeongran (NY DEC), Doug, Miranda (TCEQ), Jeff, Alison (EPA OAQPS), Mike (MD Dept Env), Kathleen (NH DES), Jin (VA DEQ), Byeong (GA DNR), Stephen (MI DEQ), Shawn (CIRA), Shan (NJ DEP), Margaret (MN), Mark (CARB)

Agenda

  1. Round table check in on the activities of the group: what have you been working on WRT the 2016 platform?
  2. New MPE plots for the EPA 2016 CAMx and CMAQ modeling on the LADCO website.
  3. Developments with 2016v1 documentation for review

Call Notes June Action Items

Round table check in on the activities of the group

  • NY: Completed a modeling sensitivity run with 2016beta base year inventory: CAMx MEGAN to compare biogenic models; will present that at the EIC conference next week; generated a lot of plots and maps for different locations, plan will be to post on the LADCO website for people to browse; LADCO to work with NY on getting AMET comparisons of CMAQ, CAMx, and biogenics; working with VA in ERTAC model processing, packaging, and documentation;
    • ERTAC vs IPM split will be uneven enough so that ERTAC modelers will have a different list of EGUs than IPM; not a simple swap out, will require two sector re-runs; two models have different definitions of EGUs, but still the same number of sources between the two methods
  • LADCO: 2020 projection workgroup; MOVES input analysis looking at 2016beta fleet mixes, vehicle age distributions, etc.; EPA CAMx and CMAQ MPE plots
  • EPA is working on a 2016beta derivative case for regional haze modeling; getting requests on more information about the EPA modeling of 2016beta; EPA put an email together describing the changes from beta to 2016beta'; may also respond with a webinar on their modeling configuration; not reflected in the 2016beta MPE results included on the LADCO website (case ff); case fg includes corrections to Canadian dust
  • CIRA: preparing to provide additional data through the IWDW; just received 7-8 disks with model outputs, WRF data, ICBC data; enabling request and download now, should be available to request and download in the next week; there is an additional disk that is coming from EPA to augment the archive on the IWDW; seeking review of data manifest
    • Do these files include CAMx ICBC data? Includes ICBC data for 36 and 12km? Yes. Also includes hemispheric CMAQ data
    • Does hemispheric CMAQ include future year data? For the 36km CMAQ run, future year emissions were used for N. America only
    • Is the hemispheric run mainly for foreign impacts to boundary? No good projections for foreign emissions? Yes, the hemispheric run used 2006alpha for N. America, but did have some updated base year data for outside of N. America; don't have projections outside of N. America; may be some interest in exploring getting projected data for hemispheric runs;
    • An EPRI project is creating future year (2028) projections of global emissions and air quality
    • 36km domain was used by EPA to better simulate Canadian fires
    • Request plots of the hemispheric runs from Barron H.
    • Can the speciation mapping between model and obs be shared between EPA and outside groups? Zac to follow up with Heather Simon on getting species mapping used for MPE

Developments with 2016v1

  • Incorporating state comments and updating data and methods from within work groups
  • Running through SMOKE (1/2 sectors run) to test and check initial data; ongoing work with oil and gas (awaiting data from WRAP in July for base year and August for projection year), airport emissions (backcast from 2017 to 2016), updates to nonpoint, CMV hourly emissions based on 2017 are being backcast to 2016, final C1C2 data just came in yesterday; MOVES is almost for 2016, and activity data are finished, hoped to make updates for Mexico (will be the same as beta), Canada will be same as EPA fg case; after the conference will do projections for 2023, and 2028 (and 2020 for mobile sources)
  • LADCO to add space to Google Drive
  • Link to the v1 G-Drive (Data Repository
  • EPA will post inventories, reports, and plots (gridded and county) as they become available

June 25, 2019

Action Items

  • Alison: provide county plots of 2016beta and V1 VMT and VPOP

Attendees Zac, Mark (LADCO), Eric , Winston, Jeongran (NY DEC), Doug (TCEQ), Jeff, Caroline (EPA OAQPS), Michael (MD Dept Env), Kathleen (NH DES), Jin (VA DEQ), Jim, Byeong (GA DNR), Stephen (MI DEQ), Shawn, Tom (CIRA)

Agenda

  1. Review May action items
  2. Discuss national outreach call messages from this WG
  3. Updates on data/documentation review by WG members
  4. Plan for v1 release documentation review
  5. CRC Project A119 Update
  6. v1 use cases

Call Notes

Review May action items

  • LADCO: form 2020 projection workgroup; status: organizing now
  • Zac: set up call with EPA and NY to review ERTAC scripts package for integration into the emissions platform release; status: ERTAC call earlier this month to discuss this issue, work done on the 2016 ERTAC inventory; not yet ready to have the discussion with EPA; challenged by EGU/non-EG split and reporting upgrades, need to include non-EGU CEM data; looking to mid-August before a call with EPA; plan is to have a release ready with v1 in mid-August/early-September

Discuss national outreach call messages from this WG

  • NY has been doing modeling sensitivities, testing the biogenic emissions (MEGAN vs BEIS), also ERTAC vs IPM, CMAQ and CAMx
  • Reviewing inventory and profiles/ancillary data (Zac send scripts to NY DEQ)
  • Plots are online, interactive plotting at CIRA
  • Documentation review
  • Plan a similar path with V1
  • EPA has been working on SMOKE-MOVES updates to incorporate hourly humidity and average speed distributions; need to figure out what will be included in V1; will likely make multiple version of onroad available that could include more than one of these options
  • Alison to provide county VMT and VPOP maps

Updates on data/documentation review by WG members

  • LADCO: looking at inventories and reporting/plots, commented on the platform to EPA
  • EPA: PM2.5 speciation profile for wildfires and prescribed; will be presented at the next fire WG call;
  • WESTAR: oil and gas data and speciation profiles for V1 inventory from the WRAP states, targeting July 10 delivery; looking at power plant projection data, will provide to IPM and ERTAC, will also have a 2018 base line inventory, not 2016 but will use NEI2014 for the rest of the country

Plan for v1 Release Documentation Review

  • Same process as with beta
  • Roll out the components for plotting, analysis, and documentation review

CRC Project A119 Update

  • Contractor is UNC-IE
  • Source apportionment processing improvements: easier tagging/management of CMAQ/CMAQ source apportionment tags for regions sectors
  • Remote sensing analysis support: grid SCC inventory data to satellite overpass timing/domains; want to better be able to answer the question about differences in satellite retrievals and air quality from an emissions standpoint; will support different output formats and speciation

v1 use cases

  • What do people plan to use v1 for?
  • LADCO: 2016 base, 2020 and 2023 (2008 O3 NAAQS), 2023 (2015 O3 NAAQS), 2028 (regional haze phase II), source apportionment; research applications
  • NY DEQ: same as LADCO, including source apportionment and research

May 28, 2019

Action Items

  • LADCO: form 2020 projection workgroup
  • Zac: set up call with EPA and NY to review ERTAC scripts package for integration into the emissions platform release

Attendees Zac, Mark (LADCO), Eric , Winston, Jeongran (NY DEC), Shantha, Miranda (TCEQ), Jeff, Alison (EPA OAQPS), Michael (MD Dept Env), Mark (CARB), Margaret (MN PCA), Kathleen (NH DES), Jin (VA DEQ), Shan (NJ DEP), Jim, Byeong (GA DNR), Wei (ID DEQ), Stephen (MI DEQ), Shawn, Rodger (CIRA), Kevin (CO)

Agenda

  1. Review April action items
  2. Updates on data/documentation review by WG members
  3. 2020 platform collaboration
  4. EPA MPE plots and analysis
  5. NY CMAQ modeling update
  6. Profile summaries
  7. V1 evaluation/analysis plans
  8. ERTAC run scripts
  9. CRC Project 119 Update

Call Notes

April Action Items

  • LADCO: looking at profile summaries, see links below to profile plots
  • LADCO: engaging states, EPA, and FLMs in the region to review 2016beta platform
  • LADCO: to discuss CRC Project 119 emissions analysis tool for comparison to satellite data
  • NY DEQ: looking at profiles

Updates on data/documentation review by WG members

  • MN
    • RWC emissions look too high for 2016, should be the same as 2011 have survey data that backs that up
    • EGU SO2 looks strange: emissions decrease from 2016 to 2023 looks fine, why increase to 2028? Want to see summaries by facility for those years to better understand those trends; EPA noted this trend to CAMD for some units, but CAMD described that certain sources/control devices lead to increases in 2028; a new run of IPM should address this issue, will be in V1 and not in beta
    • NH3 magnitude is much lower in 2016 than 2011, and then increases back in 2023; want to make sure that we have the right amount in the base year; important issue in MN for PM; will there be a change to the new CAMx version that has bi-directional ammonia and how that might impact the emissions;
    • Why is dust increasing in 2016 relative to 2011?
    • Noticed that 2028ff categories are almost equal for NOx
  • GA
    • Noted big differences in some TX counties for NH3, is this related to bi-di for CAMx? Will get new ag NH3 for inputs to fertilizer NH3, will be lower than what was in the beta; Alison doesn't know what will EPA do when they run the new version of CAMx; need to be careful to not double count fertilizer NH3
  • EPA
    • Found dust emissions from Canada have been too high; in a later version of their modeling platform, following beta, reduced windblown and fugitive dust from Canada
  • LADCO
    • IL oil and gas increases in 2016 relative to 2011 is not right; working on correcting this problem with OAQPS and Oil and Gas WG
    • Temporal distribution by month for ag equipment doesn't reflect the regional patterns; working to get these temporal trends updated in V1
    • Inconsistencies across the region, e.g. on-road increasing in 2016 for some states, but decreasing in others; working to understand why

NY CMAQ modeling update

  • CMAQ and CAMx comparisons with ERTAC and IPM projections
  • Still doing QA and Analysis
  • Looking at ERTAC updated for 2016

2020 platform collaboration

  • Do we want to create a subgroup to work on creating 2020 emissions from the 2016 platform
  • NY will check with MARAMA; NY may not use 2016-based inventories
  • TX is in the process of creating the 2020 inventories but is still preliminary for using 2016, still using 2012; would be willing to explore potential options
  • CO has the 2011 projections to 2023 and they could do an interpolation there for U.S. emissions outside of CO; but not that far along on this work; don't know how available 2023 is for this platform to do interpolation between 2016 and 2023; may look at using V1 projections
  • Major changes to 2020 for EGUs in the Southeast
  • TX is looking for 2020 projection/control factors
  • LADCO to set up call on 2020 projections

EPA MPE plots and analysis

  • EPA has thousands of CMAQ and CAMx modeling evaluation plots available
  • These should be reviewed as part of the beta platform evaluation

Profile summaries

  • LADCO will share our R scripts for producing these plot by request

ERTAC run scripts

  • There are no ERTAC run scripts in the beta platform, it's all IPM
  • EPA can't help with this, are there others in the modeling WG who could help get these scripts incorporated
  • NY has created a script package that unpacks directly into the platform
  • Mark J. suggests adding MEGAN and ERTAC into the V1 release
  • Can we have a call with EPA to show the script package and help them to integrate with the V1 platform release; includes non-EGU scripts

April 23, 2019

Attendees Zac Adelman (LADCO), Eric Zalewsky (NY DEC), Doug Boyer (TCEQ), Barry Exum (TCEQ), Miranda Kosty (TCEQ), Alison Eyth (EPA OAQPS), Michael Woodman (MD Dept Env), Margaret McCourtney (MN PCA), Mark Janssen (LADCO), Jin-sheng Lin (VA DEQ), Shan He (NJ DEP), Kristen Stumpf (VA DEQ), Wei Zhang (ID DEQ), Stephen Lachance (MI DEQ), Shawn McClure (CIRA), Rodger Ames (CIRA), Kevin Briggs (CO), Mark Hixon (CARB)

Agenda

  1. 2016beta MPE Collaborative
  2. Profile summaries
  3. 2023/2028 platform packaging
  4. ERTAC runscripts
  5. Update on the Small/Non EGU inventory that goes along with the ERTAC inventory files in order to swap ERTAC/IPM
  6. Modeling NY has done with the Beta and some Biogenic sensitivity runs.
  7. LADCO 2016beta presentation

Call Notes

2016beta MPE Collaborative

  • May 2 @ 3:00 Eastern kickoff call for 2016 model performance evaluation collaborative

Profile summaries

2023/2028 platform packaging

  • SMOKE inputs and scripts for future years are being packaged by EPA
  • Wanting to fix Canadian gridding issue for ag NH3 sources in the future year platform; will include new 2016 data as well as 2023 and 2028
  • Will also include spatial allocation corrections to Flint Hills, KS fires and GA DNR Rx burns (now allocated to different spatial surrogate rather than county centroid)
  • 2016beta patch with alternative versions of Canada and fires
  • Package will be available by the end of the month; will include updated sector spreadsheets with 2023/2028 emissions
  • Alison will post the 2023/2028 platform packages to EPA scienceftp, will send initially to NY and LADCO; contact Alison Eyth if you're also interested in accessing these data

ERTAC runscripts

  • NY working on swapping out different sectors; developed scripts to process the ERTAC EGU inventory
  • Scripts available on Collaborative Google Drive
  • Processing Notes:
    • First, the ERTAC EGU inventory files are provided for the 5 regions (MANEVU, SESARM, MRPO, CENSARA & WESTAR). Each region has an annual FF10 inventory file and 12 monthly hourly FF10 files. I processed this sector for the whole CONUS domain at once, so I concatenated the 5 Annual files and the 60 hourly files into one annual and one hourly file just to make it easier. I included two scripts to do this. (concat_ertac_annual.scr & concat_ertac_hourly.scr)
    • Created a sub-directory “ertac_egu” in the case (2016ff_16j) “inputs” directory of the Beta platform and placed the concatenated annual and hourly inventory files there.
    • Modifications to Beta Annual_ptegu_onetime_12US1_2016ff_16j.csh & Annual_ptegu_daily_12US1_2016ff_16j.csh runscripts:
    • I called this sector ertac_egu, so in both the Onetime and Daily scripts the SECTOR environment variable was changed from “ptegu” to “ertac_egu” “ertac_egu” will need to be added to the sectorlist file for later merging. In “Inputs for all sectors” section uncommented out line setting “PTREF” environment variable. In the “Inputs specific to this sector” section of both runscripts, commented out the lines setting EMISINV_A, EMISINV_B, EMISINV_C & EMISHOUR_MULTI_A environment variables. Defined the new annual and hourly inventory environment variables: setenv EMISINV_A “$CASEINPUTS/ertac_egu/CONUSv16.0_BYFY_T6_ALL_ff10_future.csv” setenv EMISHOUR_A “$CASEINPUTS/ertac_egu/CONUSv16.0_BYFY_T6_ALL_ff10_hourly_future.csv”
    • Scripts are set up for inline point source processing.'

Update on the Small/Non EGU inventory that goes along with the ERTAC inventory files in order to swap ERATC/IPM

  • MARAMA is working on processing scripts for non-ERTAC EGUs for the entire CONUS domain

Modeling NY has done with the Beta and some Biogenic sensitivity runs

  • May - August 2016 have been processed and run through CMAQ and CAMx
  • Working on analysis now, may be able to share results on the next call
  • Interest in in-line vs off-line biogenic processing led to a sensitivity in CMAQ with in-line vs off-line biogenics; tested fix for the water landuse in the BELD files; short presentation given to the biogenic WG
    • water fix brought predicted ozone closer to observations
    • saw differences between in-line/offline biogenics; major differences happened along water cells
    • Presentation slides
    • Plans to do MEGAN biogenic sensitivity

LADCO 2016beta presentation

Plans for next month

  • LADCO: looking at profile summaries, will present on the next call
  • LADCO: engaging states, EPA, and FLMs in the region to review 2016beta platform
  • LADCO: to discuss CRC Project 119 emissions analysis tool for comparison to satellite data
  • NY DEQ: looking at profiles

April 2, 2019

Attendees Jeff Vukovich (EPA OAQPS), Alison Eyth (EPA OAQPS), Caroline Farkas (EPA OAQPS), Doug Boyer (TX), Eric, Winston, Jeongran (NY), Tom Moore (WESTAR/WRAP), Mark Hixon (CARB), Margaret McCourtney (MN PCA), Mark Janssen (LADCO), Kathleen Errington (NH DES), Jin-sheng Lin (VA DEQ), Shan He (NJ DEP), Kristen Stumpf (VA DEQ), Byeong Kim (GA DNR), Stephen Lachance (MI DEQ), Shawn McClure (CIRA), Wei Zhang (ID)

Agenda

  1. What to report out on the national call?
  2. Plans over the next quarter for this WG

Call Notes

What to report out on the national call?

  • Created plots, reviewed documentation over the past quarter
  • Working on over the next quarter: processing the data, reviewing the profile applications, QA/QC, v1 release and testing
  • Do we need to communicate the model performance evaluation collaborative work, interfacing with the modeling WG; need to get more information from OAQPS, let us know if people are interested in being involved

Work moving forward for this group

  • Need to communicate profile report modifications to EPA about the modifications to the report (need SCCs)
  • Analyses and digging into the data
    • Identify differences between platform base years, check against documentation and evaluating whether the documentation is sufficient
  • Are other people doing fine grid modeling? NY is interested in fine grids, GA is interested, TX will be modeling 4-km in eastern TX
  • If people are already doing fine grid modeling, share the experiences with this group
  • Groups processing 2016 in the near term: NY, LADCO, TX
  • Document how to interchange different sectors in the modeling platform
    • Document these instructions somewhere obvious
  • Are there plans to develop an official run script for the ERTAC files to include in the platform?
    • Someone in the ERTAC EGU group should do this
    • NY modified the EPA scripts for processing ERTAC; need to develop a set of files and scripts that fit into the EPA platform;
    • goal is to have the ERTAC package ready for the v1 release; coordinate this through the ERTAC EGU workgroup
  • LADCO will take a first cut looking at the profile summaries
  • CMV summaries need to be updated: remove the emissions outside of the federal waters;
  • Communicate modeling insights to this group as they become available

High PM values in CA in 2016beta

  • 132k acre fire in CA in July (July 22-Oct 12)
  • High emissions on July 26 for this fire
  • Intermediate data for Smartfire2 and BlueSky investigated; acres burned looked fine, large amount of Redwood fuel that has a high heatflux and excessive duff burning

Biogenic landuse fix

  • Change to land/water interface cells improve performance in biogenic emissions and resulting air quality simulations

Next call April 23. Looking for groups to share analyses, QA/QC results

February 26, 2019

Attendees Jeff Vukovich (EPA OAQPS), Alison Eyth (EPA OAQPS), Caroline Farkas (EPA OAQPS), Michael Woodman (MD Dept Env), Tom Moore (WESTAR/WRAP), Mark Hixon (CARB), Tim Allen (US FWS), Margaret McCourtney (MN PCA), Mark Janssen (LADCO), Kathleen Errington (NH DES), Jin-sheng Lin (VA DEQ), Shan He (NJ DEP), Susan McCusker (MARAMA), Kristen Stumpf (VA DEQ), Jim Boylan (GA DNR), Byeong Kim (GA DNR), Stephen Lachance (MI DEQ), Shawn McClure (CIRA), Rodger Ames (CIRA), Eric, Winston, Jeong, Doug

Agenda

  1. Discussion on the state of the 2016 beta platform documentation and any pressing needs in advance of the release; how can this WG participate in the review of the documentation?
  2. Summary of the evaluation plots hosted @ LADCO; has anyone looked through these? any interesting features to point out?
  3. Summary of the OAQPS plan for 2016beta platform MPE
  4. Collaborative Platform Issues tracking @ CMAS
  5. Set priorities for reviewing/QA of the 2016 beta platform; what should we be focusing on for improving the v1 platform?

Call Notes

Discussion on the state of the 2016 beta platform documentation

  • Documentation reviews:
    • MEGAN - Mark LADCO
    • BEIS - Eric NY
    • Onroad - Steve MI
    • Rail - Steve MI
    • Nonroad - Eric NY
    • C1/C2 & C3 - Zac LADCO
    • RWC - Zac LADCO
    • nonpoint - MARAMA
    • nonpoint afdust - MARAMA
    • nonpoint ag - MARAMA
    • nonpoint oil & gas - Tom WESTAR/WRAP
    • Can/Mexico - Tom WESTAR/WRAP
    • point oil & gas - Tom WESTAR/WRAP
    • point fires ag + wf&rx - Tom WESTAR/WRAP
    • point non-EGU - MARAMA
    • point IPM - Mark LADCO
    • point ERTAC EGU - Eric NY

  • Host documentation on VIEWS wiki server
  • Release announcement Friday, send to states, MJOs, national report out call

Summary of the evaluation plots hosted @ LADCO

  • Analysis of results
  • Canada and Mexico plots: look at the gridded maps

Summary of the OAQPS plan for 2016beta platform MPE

Collaborative Platform Issues tracking @ CMAS

  • Q&A forum for data platform
  • Approached by contractors looking to review the beta platform, need to incorporate feedback
  • Not a regulatory effort so don't need a NODA, but need to track feedback in a systematic way
  • Can sign up as a watcher for specific items

Set priorities for reviewing/QA of the 2016 beta platform

  • Review ancillary data
  • LADCO will process these data on 4 and 1.33 km domains, looking at issues and communicating back to Collaborative
  • What will be included in the platform? What data and software will be distributed?
    • Similar to the EN platform; will be posted by the IWDW; will be able to download directly from the IWDW; will include SMOKE inputs, pre-merged outputs, merged SMOKE outputs, and scripts
    • All non-point sources processed on 12US1 domain, EPA runs all sectors on the 12US1 grid, merge together and then window to the 12US2 domains; pre-merged emissions are all on the 12US1 domain
    • Point source files for the 12US1 domain work for the 12US2 domains
    • How is the 36US3 domain used? Hemispheric provided BCs to 36US3, then 36US3 to create BCs for 12US2; some may be interested to running 36 because it has few total cells than the 12-km domains
    • How long does it take to obtain the files from the IWDW server? See Globus to connect to CIRA.

January 22, 2019

Attendees

Byeong and Jim (GA), Jin and Kristen (VA), Shan (NJ), Mark J and Zac (LADCO), Mark H (CARB), Ron (TCEQ), Shawn and Tom (CIRA/WRAP), Kathleen (NH), Kelly (LA), Eric (NY)

Agenda

  1. Review analysis products
  2. Review list of plots for documentation and figure out if additional efforts need to be made to complete the list
  3. Set priorities for reviewing/QA of the 2016 beta platform

Review Analysis Products Note that these are prototype analysis products because the future years (2023ff and 2028ff) are missing for several sectors: EGU Point, NonEGU Point, Nonpoint, O&G-Nonpoint, O&G-Point, Rail.

Call Notes

CIRA Interactive Web Site

  • MN: Filter by region: regions split by 1st round haze planning period; can this be updated?
    • Yes, need to coordinate with LADCO to make consistent with bar charts
    • Zac to follow up with Rodger @ CIRA
  • WESTAR/WRAP: need to include all states in axis labels, some plots are skipping axis labels and it's hard to decipher
  • WESTAR/WRAP: need to update platform names; call 2016ff beta, alpha, call 2011en 2011v6?
    • GA: there is utility in using the EPA platform names, if there is a rename should we have a key that translates the rename to a platform; seconded by NY and MN
    • When an MJO/state changes an EPA platform, do they rename it? Yes, they become a new platform when a change is made
    • Eric@NY to follow up with Rodger@CIRA with platform descriptions

LADCO Image Viewer with bar plots

  • Two types of bar plots created, grouped bars and stacked bars
  • Three comparison groups
    • 2016beta platform: 2016ff, 2023ff, 2028ff
    • base platforms (11v14v16): 2011en, 2014fd, 2016ff
    • future platforms (23v28): 2011-based 2023 & 2028, 2016-based 2023 & 2028
  • Regional aggregations
    • US: by pollutant, shows all of the platforms along the x-axis
    • Regional: by MJO and pollutant, shows comparison groups by MJO total
    • State: by MJO and pollutant, shows comparison groups by state in each MJO
    • County: by state and pollutant, shows comparison groups by county each state in each MJO
    • Grouped bars are organized by sector/pollutant
    • Stacked bars organized by pollutant
    • No county plots for stacked bars
    • Stacked bars include "free-Y" plots; standard panel plots have a Y-axis that is scaled to the largest value; the free-Y plots scale by each element in the panel; both types of plots created

GA DNR thematic maps

  • Base and future year county maps, with arithmetic and percentage differences
  • Counties with no data (no sources), shown as grey
  • Merged_PDF plots aggregate several plots into one file
  • PDF and PNG show single plots in one file

Proposed Plots

  • beta platform state summary: state annual total bar charts comparing the 2016, 2023, and 2028 beta emissions for CO, NOx, VOC, NH3, SO2, and PM2.5.
  • base year platform comparisons: state annual total bar charts comparing 2011, 2014 (if available), and 2016 beta for the same pollutants
  • projection year platform comparisons: state annual total bar charts comparing 2011-based 2023 and 2028 to 2016-beta 2023 and 2028, for the same pollutants
  • Thematic county maps: county annual total maps of 2011, 2016, 2023, 2028, 2011-2016 (or 2016/2011?)…also maps to highlight differences between the projections (i.e., 2011-based vs 2016 based projections)
  • comparisons across all sectors, as in total inventory charts. I like stacked bars, so maybe stacked bars with each segment representing an inventory sector, using similar comparisons as 1-3 above. I’d be interested to hear other ideas.

November 27, 2018

Attendees

Zac, Eric, Ron, Doug, Miranda, Jeff, Alison, Caroline, Winston, Jeongran, Michael, Tom M., Mark H., Margaret, Mark J., Jenny, Jin, Susan, Jim, Byeong, Wei, Trace, Tom S., Kevin

Agenda

  1. Roll
  2. Review October action items and call comments
  3. Review goals/objectives of this workgroup: no/limited modeling; review, improve, document EPA platform
  4. Brainstorm on tasks and workload distribution
  5. Next Steps

Call Notes

October Action Items

  • Jeff V.: Provide a list of the routine SMOKE reports that will come out of the EPA modeling platform; indication of when these could be available to this group
    • Sending a list of the reports they will create and put in a table to provide after the call; state, county, SCC reports for CAPS by sector; not inclined to create county-SCC report; unit level comparisons for point sources
    • Schedule: looking at wrapping up most of the sectors by mid-December; start providing before the holidays

  • Jeff V.: get an indication from EPA modelers if they are receptive to requests from this group for custom SMOKE reports
    • Yes, will create these reports

  • Jeff V.: request that the EPA 2016 beta modeling platform (scripts and data) be made available to this group early, possibly as sectors were ready
    • Pushing to get the beta platform out in bulk, not feasible to make data available while they're working in the middle of it

  • Workgroup membership: for WG members who weren't on this first call, review the notes and provide feedback to Zac & Eric; in particular consider our preliminary decision to not recreate a new modeling platform, but rather the use EPA 2016 beta platform and focus on the analysis of the data, improving the platform, and documentation
    • Need to get clarity on when modeling is done with these data; how will the collaborative create buy in to the process

Review goals/objectives of this workgroup: no/limited modeling; review, improve, document EPA platform

  • Can we make a case for changing the platform that would be manifested in the version 1.0 platform
    • EPA: if we find things with beta, we're hoping that they can be integrated into V1; looking to create a V1 in the spring time frame, can make refinements to sectors and packaging; historically have been receptive to the platform packaging
  • Nature of the platforms is that things won't stop after V1, need a long term approach for storing/housing getting the files, tracking updates, tracking errata
  • Key findings for this group will be to evaluate what's in beta and what's missing, what's left to be done
  • Others are requesting the platform, do we want to wait to release when the platform is done by EPA
    • Decision was made to wait until documentation is ready
    • Review will work best as we get this platform to people as soon as possible
    • Platforms will vary once there is a release as local changes are made
    • Try to set milestones that define what the different platform versions are
    • If we wait for the documentation, it won't be ready until February;
    • Documentation for individual sectors, not pulled together into a single uniform document
    • EPA releases to the collaborative as soon as the data are available, then to the general public as soon as the documentation are available
    • If documentation isn't available int he next month, we'll get pressure from outside groups
    • Could we release inventory components as their documentation are available? No, hoping that documentation is the reference point for each sector, and this workgroup will use that to determine if all of the pieces are there
    • Don't need formal documentation, meta data source of the data, how it was compiled is good to start
    • Are all of the sectors ready now? Most of them are and EPA has processed many of them, working through some glitches: fires, biogenic, EGU, nonpoint, nonpoint O&G, Canada
  • No major pushback to EPA putting the platform together
    • Will most people use EPAs platform as is, or will there be major changes to the scripts; NY will use EPA's scripts, maintain consistency across groups; LADCO will use EMF/EPA scripts; TX will use EPS

Brainstorm on tasks and workload distribution

October 23, 2018

Action Items

  • Jeff V.: Provide a list of the routine SMOKE reports that will come out of the EPA modeling platform; indication of when these could be available to this group
  • Jeff V.: get an indication from EPA modelers if they are receptive to requests from this group for custom SMOKE reports
  • Jeff V.: request that the EPA 2016 beta modeling platform (scripts and data) be made available to this group early, possibly as sectors were ready
  • Workgroup membership: for WG members who weren't on this first call, review the notes and provide feedback to Zac & Eric; in particular consider our preliminary decision to not recreate a new modeling platform, but rather the use EPA 2016 beta platform and focus on the analysis of the data, improving the platform, and documentation
    • TCEQ agrees. TCEQ will provide EI updates to EPA as expeditiously as possible.

Attendees

Zac (LADCO), Eric (NY DEC), Winston (NY DEC), Jeongran (NY DEC), Mike Ku (NY DEC), Mark Janssen (LADCO), Mike Woodman (MDE), Mark Hixon (CARB), Margaret MPCA), Kathleen (NH DES), Kelly (LA DEQ), Vivian (LA DEQ), Christine (LA DEQ), Kristen (VA DEQ), Jin-sheng (VA DEQ), Susan (MARAMA), Tim (US FWS), Chris (TCEQ), Jeff (US EPA OAQPS)

Agenda

  1. Introductions
  2. Background on the Inventory Collaborative + Q&A for people new to the Collaborative
  3. Workgroup ground rules
  4. Discussion on the goals/objectives of this workgroup
  5. Workgroup products and milestones
  6. Thoughts on logistical challenges: modeling, software distribution, data distribution
  7. Next Steps

Call Notes

Background on the Inventory Collaborative

Workgroup ground rules

  • Structure & membership
    • Co-leads: Zac Adelman, LADCO (temporary until EPA co-lead identified); Eric Zalwesky, NY DEC
    • Co-leads take care of the logistics, facilitate discussions, drive the schedule
    • Workgroup members contribute to the extent that they have time and ability
    • Collaborative is a voluntary effort of federal, state, and MJO staff; other organization staff (e.g., university or consulting) can be invited to make presentations to the workgroup, but not to participate as a member
  • Operational Principles
    • Do the best possible work and create the best possible products given the available resources; perfect is the enemy of good
    • Documentation of the process is as important as the process
    • Transparency in the workgroup's decisions is fundamental to the Collaborative
    • Strive for consensus-based decisions
  • Communication
    • Document our meetings, decisions, and work through this wiki
    • Google Drive is used to share data, files, and documents
    • Email group: inventory-collaborative-modeling-workgroup@ladco.org

Discussion on the goals/objectives of this workgroup

  • Goal is to create a national emissions modeling platform for processing the Collaborative 2016 and future year inventories
  • An emissions modeling platform is the software (SMOKE+scripts) and data (inventories+ancillary) for preparing inputs to chemistry-transport models, includes documentation
  • NY DEC: kudos to EPA for putting together well-documented and functional emissions modeling platforms
  • Do we take what EPA is already doing with the 2016 modeling platform or do we start from scratch and build our own platform?
    • LADCO: use what EPA has already done and build off of that
    • NY: use EPA's beta platform as a starting point
    • TCEQ: we agree with this one. I don’t think we need to wait for the v1. Get the kinks out as early as we can.
    • MN: start with EPA's platform
  • This workgroup's efforts may be best targeted at testing and improving the EPA platform
    • Improvements to ancillary data
    • Document process for switching out sectors in the EPA platform (e.g., biogenic or EGU point)
      • TCEQ: MEGAN v. BEIS, and ERTAC v. IPM/Engineered whatever, and other options.
    • Define a series of evaluation reports/products/analyses and work on these through this workgroup
    • Leverage regional expertise to evaluate the platform performance/skill by region
    • Create new modeling grids, and regrid the data
      • TCEQ: Do we know exactly what EPA is planning? I can offer up our definitions. For our WRF domain we used essentially what EPA is using, but we have one huge 12 km domain that we aggregate up to 36 km outside the CONUS for quicker runtimes.
  • Need to get understandable, custom reports from EPA to use for doing the evaluation, analysis
    • Can we define the reports that we want to see and ask EPA to generate these reports? Action: Jeff V. is going to check on this
  • This group would serve as the first beta tester for 2016 beta platform being created by EPA
    • Can this workgroup get preferred, early access to the EPA platform scripts for beta testing? Action: Jeff V. is going to check on this

Workgroup products and milestones

  • beta and v1 emissions modeling platforms
  • target is to have a public distribution within 3-6 months

Thoughts on logistical challenges: modeling, software distribution, data distribution

  • Emissions data collection
    • modeling workgroups will be putting their data products into a staging area on Google Drive
    • EPA and the collaborative will have access to this staging area
    • the data will eventually be packaged and distributed as part of an emissions modeling platform
  • Emissions processing
    • SMOKE-EMF or SMOKE?
      • TCEQ: Is Texas the only SMOKE-free group? I assume we can get files in flat formats? If not, we may have code that we’ve used in the past to convert SMOKEd files
    • EPA is creating a SMOKE-EMF 2016 beta platform; they're already processing several inventory components
  • Documentation
    • Specification sheet model being used for the inventory workgroups would also be used here; need to document software in addition to data
  • Platform packaging
  • Platform distribution
    • Is there a protocol for distributing emissions data? If not, we'll need to develop one with EPA
    • TCEQ: Would EPA host this on their ftp site, or is there an alternative?
  • Emissions data evaluation
    • What types of evaluations would we do?
    • It could be useful to present the data in different ways, from different perspectives
    • Create a standard format for the analyses so that each workgroup is create products that are comparable
    • Create a repository for sharing emissions analysis codes and scripts
    • It's not clear what level of evaluation EPA will be doing, and how they will deliver this evaluation
    • What can this group bring to the evaluation from the regional/state/local perspective?
    • TCEQ: This makes me think about how states often develop refinements for their own inventories and use EPA’s platform for everywhere else. Can the collaborative do some outreach to try to gather this information from any state who isn’t participating in the 2016 effort due to resource constraints. Maybe some kind of “last call” through the MJOs? Then again, maybe this kind of piecemeal isn’t the preferred approach.
  • Feedback to inventory workgroups
    • review documentation/spec sheets
    • beta testing of the EPA platform package
  • Platform technical support

Next Steps

  • Evaluate the state of the Collaborative inventory workgroups, and figure out when we expect to get data from these groups
  • Need to decide if this workgroup is going to do emissions processing, if so where and by whom, or if we let EPA do the processing and we focus on the evaluation/documentation of the process
    • If anyone has time, it might be a good check for someone to SMOKE this separately, that way we could all agree that the processing gave the same results.
    • In this first meeting, the feeling was that we should be taking what EPA is already doing and then focus our efforts on evaluation; need to bring in other perspectives from those WG members who are not on this call (other MJOs, states, and EPA) before we commit to this direction
  • Develop a process for evaluating the collaborative emissions, e.g., air quality modeling, inventory comparisons back to earlier NEI versions
    • Build capacity to share scripts/tools
    • Define some evaluation metrics that we would all like to see, and commit to using the evaluation products to making improvements to the modeling platform (e.g., to ancillary data)
  • TCEQ: So this workgroup will not address any potential meteorology issues, even though SMOKE relies on the met, and the PGM relies on the met? This workgroup will not apply AMET to EPA’s met or air quality results? Nor will this group review EPA’s met procedures and documentation?