Oil and Gas Workgroup
- 1. Members
- 2. Coordination Committee Meetings
- 2.1 November 18, 2019
2.2 October 7, 20192.3 September 9, 20192.4 August 12, 20192.5 July 15, 20192.6 June 10, 20192.7 May 13, 20192.8 April 8, 20192.9 March 11, 20192.10 February 11, 20192.11 December 10, 20182.12 November 5, 20182.13 October 15, 20182.14 September 10, 20182.15 August 13, 20182.16 July 9, 20182.17 June 11, 20182.18 May 14, 20182.19 April 9, 20182.20 March 12, 2018
Inventory Collaborative Google Drive Link
Members
Co-leads: Tom Richardson(OKDEQ), Jeff Vukovich (USEPA)For a listing of the team members
Coordination Committee Meetings
November 18, 2019
AttendeesSee:
Agenda
- Roll call
- Review Action Items from last call
- 2016v1 documentation and summaries
- http://views.cira.colostate.edu/wiki/wiki/10202#Documentation
- ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/v1/reports/oilgas/
- Update on WRAP 2014 Baseline inventory review
- Received WRAP Future year inventory
- Missing Colorado
- Received CARB 2023 and 2028 year inventory
- Review upcoming
- Next 2016 platform update to be provided during National O&G call on Dec 12th
- Do you currently get invites to the National O&G calls?
Thoughts moving forward-
When does it become a time to update the modeling platform (new version; e.g. version 2)?
October 7, 2019
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last callWRAP to provide 7 state base year inventory in FF10 format and ancillary data by mid-Sept (completed)In review process at EPAWRAP to provide information on how tribal land inventories are to be spatially allocatedWRAP to provide future-year inventory scenario by early to mid OctoberStatus update(pdf)(WRAP and Ramboll)Emissions summaries for v1Draft documentation for version 1 being compiledBrief review of some 2016, 2023 and 2028 analyses from v1 of platform (EPA)Last workgroup call is Nov 18 at 2PM ET, 1PM CT
Minutes/Notes
Roll CallAction Items from previous meeting discussedWRAP tribal emissions summarized in detailed reportTribal emissions not separated out in SMOKE-ready filesConsists of two tribes in SW ColoradoEPA Region 8 assisting with tribal inventory informationWRAP Future year scenario may be ready in the next weekDraft report being updated for WRAP Future year scenarioCurrent 2016v1 platform review notes:VOC vs. production for state analysisCalifornia inventory continues to be an outlier as far as possible low VOC emissions based on reported productionTom Moore indicated that he can assist with finding out more informationJennifer Snyder will look into CA emissions for 2017NEI and 2014NEIExploration 4-year average discussion2014 high activity year but more recent years may better reflect recent trends in technology/approaches by industry
Action Items
WRAP to provide future-year inventory scenario by early to mid OctoberEPA (Snyder) to look into CA emissions in NEI to see if VOC-to-production relationship much different vs. other statesVersion 1 documentation completed (EPA, co-chairs, and feedback from workgroup when possible)
September 9, 2019
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last callWRAP to provide 7 state base year inventory in FF10 format and ancillary data by last week of AugustWRAP to arrange for a possible meeting with CARB about future year emissions for their stateMet on Aug 23rd; CARB likely to submit 2028 inventory in late SeptA year 2023 inventory sometime after thatAK and EPA to meet in late August on oil and gas-related issues (2016 and other year inventories)Met on Aug 28th; possible follow-up itemsWRAP update on base and future year inventory developmentUpdate on National Default projections and controls for version 1 for years 2023 and 2028Emissions after growth summariesApplying controls to grown emissions nextLast 2016 Workgroup call is Oct 7th, 2PM ET, 1PM CT2016-specific issues can be discussed during monthly National O&G Workgroup calls
Minutes/Notes
Roll CallAction Items from previous meeting discussedAK and EPA met in late-August and discussed revisions to Tool to better reflect activities in AK; followup meeting in Sept.WRAP gave update on status of base and future year inventoriesBase year now possibly available mid-SeptFuture year (2023) available early to mid-OctND flaring data from EIA used to make revisions to emissions in ND, SD and MTTribal land inventories for SW Colorado to be providedNew speciation profiles discussedUpdate on default future year projections providedReport summaries to be provided soonGrowth factors applied and controls next step
Action Items
WRAP to provide 7 state base year inventory in FF10 format and ancillary data by mid-SeptWRAP to provide future-year inventory scenario by early to mid OctoberEPA to provide emissions summaries of default projections and controls for version 1 modeling platform for years 2023 and 2028WRAP to provide information on how tribal land inventories are to be spatially allocated
August 12, 2019
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last callWRAP to provide 6 state base year inventory within the next weekWRAP to provide future-year inventory scenario by mid- to late AugustEPA to examine Colorado 2016 oil and gas point source inventory and provide summaryEPA to provide spreadsheet for projection of production-related emissionsInsert latest workbook for workgroupAK would like to investigate the use of Oil and Gas Tool to generate future year inventory estimatesWRAP Base Year and Future Year inventory update(pdf)(WRAP and Ramboll)California discussion: how to estimate impact of control programs in state?Update on Future Year Projections for v1 platformCounty maps for growth factors (pdf)(EPA)4-year average of county exploration activity (2014-2017) used to produce exploration emissionsftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/v1/reports/oilgas/Next workgroup call Monday Sep 9 at 2PM ET, 1PM CT
Minutes/Notes
Roll CallAction Items from previous meeting discussedAK and EPA to meet later this month on oil and gas emissions related topics for their stateAK shared concerns that, when the O&G EI Tool is used to estimate emissions for AK, the emissions are overestimated.Jeff V noted that EPA has not previously incorporated Alaska’s future-year oil and gas emissions into the gridded modeling domain, but that could change in some new modeling domains being consideredWRAP presented updates on the new base year Emissions Inventory and future year scenarios workBase year data likely to be delivered last week of AugustFuture year scenarios may be available later in SeptemberStill some meeting with Colorado to finalize their emissions dataset(s)The future year scenarios approaches will be documented in reportdefinitely some subjectivity involved for each individual basinCAMx runs with these scenarios may take place in early 2020WRAP will try to get a meeting setup with CARB to see if future year emissions available for CADarla Potter (Wyoming) discussed the basin-to-basin variability in the Intermountain West and how that warrants different projections approaches for different basins.EPA presented an update on the default projections approach which included county maps4-year averaging of exploration data for years 2014-2017 have been completed and emissions generatedQA of this emissions dataset in progressEPA provided Excel workbook that details how projection factors are developed for each state/county/regionFor transmissions sources, we are planning to use regional projection factors derived from AEO 2019 production projections (not multiplied by state production data) with, possibly, a floor and a cap to constrain the projections within reasonable bounds.
Action Items
WRAP to provide 7 state base year inventory in FF10 format and ancillary data by last week of AugustWRAP to provide future-year inventory scenario by mid- to late September?WRAP to arrange for a possible meeting with CARB about future year emissions for their stateEPA to finalize default projections and controls for version 1 modeling platform for years 2023 and 2028AK and EPA to meet in late August on oil and gas-related issues (2016 and other year inventories)
July 15, 2019
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last callWRAP to provides a plan/steps for providing a new 2016 inventory for 6-7 states and a future-year projection scenario (called Medium case)Details were discussed during WRAP Oil and Gas Bi-Monthly call on Jun 11Reports documenting progress to date provided by WRAPEPA to work with AK DEC to address their commentsEPA and AK have had phone/email inventory discussionsWRAP OGWG Base Year Report(pdf)(WRAP and Ramboll)Inventory spreadsheet (xlsx)(WRAP and Ramboll)see meeting invite for more infoDefault national projections approach for 2016v1 (pdf)(Co-chairs)Next call will be August 12th, 2PM ET, 1PM CT
Minutes/Notes
Roll CallAction Items from previous meeting discussedWRAP/Ramboll gave an update on their base inventory developmentA report and spreadsheet were providedSurvey description was providedComparisons vs 2014NEI are in reportFuture year scenario be worked on after release of base year inventory next weekDiscussion on approach for Colorado non-point and point sourcesWorkgroup co-chairs presented default approach for projectionsProjection factors to be provided to workgroup soonSee agenda for ppt
Action Items
WRAP to provide 6 state base year inventory within the next weekWRAP to provide future-year inventory scenario by mid- to late AugustEPA to examine Colorado 2016 oil and gas point source inventory and provide summaryEPA to provide spreadsheet for projection of production-related emissionsAK would like to investigate the use of Oil and Gas Tool to generate future year inventory estimates
June 10, 2019
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last callFeedback on beta documentation and inventory was due 5/31IL and MARAMA sent more feedbackEPA Emissions Inventory Conference in Dallas TX July 29-Aug 02Regi Oommen (ERG) presenting national 2016 inventory development talkUpdated 2016beta specification sheet documentation availableIncludes future year inventoriesNon-point doc (pdf)Point doc (pdf)Summary of PA and IL emissions changes for 2016v1 base year inventory (pdf)ScheduleBase year 2016v1 now complete it seemsJune: Continue to finalize default national approach for projectionsJuly 15 WG call: present proposed default national approach for projectionsDeadline to submit region-specific projections (e.g. WRAP) for v1 is July 19August call: Recap of 2016v1 and future-year inventories, other issues?September call: If necessary; workgroup calls endNext call July 15th 2PM ET, 1PM CT
Minutes/Notes
Roll CallAction Items from previous meeting discussedAK provided comments but wasn't in agenda; will examine their commentsEPA Conference in Dallas will include many oil and gas training and informative talksUpdated 2016beta documentation availableSummary of PA and IL emissions changes for 2016v1 providedWRAP indicated they are moving forward with using recent survey to generate new 2016 emissions for 6-7 statesTiming of this TBD very soonRemaining schedule for workgroup discussedDefault projections approach to be finalized by next call
Action Items
WRAP to provide a plan/steps for providing a new 2016 inventory for 6-7 states and a future-year projection scenario (called Medium case)EPA to work with AK DEC to address their commentsDefault projections approach for 2016v1 by July call
May 13, 2019
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last callSubgroup on future-year projections met on 5/8 (Subgroup members)Feedback on beta documentation and inventory due 5/31Base year status updatePA non-point inventoryIL non-point inventoryAvailable summariesftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/QA/County maps, bar plots :https://www.ladco.org/technical/modeling-results/2016-inventory-collaborative/#2016betaMore QA steps coming soonProduction vs. VOC emissions comparisonMore 2014 vs. 2016 comparison (inventory and gridding surrogates)Projections to future year updateWRAP states approach (pdf)(WRAP/Ramboll)Draft Default National approach (pdf)(Vukovich)DiscussionNext call is Monday, June 10 2PM ET, 1PM CT
Minutes/Notes
Roll CallAction Items from previous meeting discussedProjections subgroup met and default national approach in draft formPA and IL base year inventories will be changing in 2016v1more details to followEmissions summaries, maps and plots available nowneed feedback by May 31WRAP states presented future year projections approach3 scenarios labeled Low, Medium and HighMedium approach based on trends at basin-well type levelLow and High scenarios still being plannedProjections to year 2023Tom Moore indicated to use 2023 for any year 2028 modeling platformsSee presentationDraft default national approach presentedSee presentation
Action Items
Provide summary of IL and PA base year changes for 2016v1Feedback on beta documentation and inventory due 5/31
April 8, 2019
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last callProvide 2016 beta documentation (ALL)http://views.cira.colostate.edu/wiki/wiki/10197#DocumentationWorkgroup members encouraged to provide feedbackFeedback due May 31st; please submit earlier if possibleQuality Assurance of beta stepsAvailable summariesPlanned summaries/QA stepsBase and future year summariesExamine QA steps used for 2014NEICombining point and non-point oilgas inventoriesOther QA steps?Base year changes for version 1Pennsylvania update (conventional and unconventional wells)Other?Future year projections for version 1AEO2019 vs AEO2018 analysis(pdf)(Vukovich)Another year of historical data (2018) may be useable in some casesUse more historical years of exploration data to come up with new “average” activity to generate non-point exploration emissionsExamine possible approaches to projecting point source categories we did not touch in beta platformPoint source analysis (pdf)(Vukovich)Goal: come up with "default" version 1 projectionsState/local input discussionThoughts on state/local approaches for more granular estimates (regional, basin-wide, or county-by-county). Is this possible for version 1 or do we defer this for future work?Projections subgroup meeting before next workgroup call?Next call Monday May 13th 2PM ET, 1PM CT
Minutes/Notes
Roll CallAction Items from previous meeting discussed2016beta documentation presented and discussedFeedback on documentation due 5/31Quality AssuranceCurrent summaries available shownPlan for more QA steps discussedFuture year projectionsPoint sourcesTransmission sources: western-half of USA have been seeing a change in a direction of flow in some cases; challenging cases that need more informationMichigan has subterranean storages under NAICS 486210Non-point sourcesRamboll: basin approach has been done in pastTCEQ discussion regarding Barnett and PermainOKDEQ mentioned Stack and Scoop areas seeing growthCould come up with default approach and states submit possible changes with supporting documentation
Action Items
Subgroup on future-year projections will continue to meet to examine historical exploration data listed below and any 2016v1 issues(Subgroup members)Provide list of QA steps for beta inventoryFeedback on beta documentation and inventory due 5/31Investigate use of EIA's AEO forecast for Tight Oil and Shale Plays table
March 11, 2019
See:
Agenda
Roll callEPA Emissions Inventory Conference in Dallas on July 29 - August 2, 2019Training thoughts survey (optional):https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/9NR3FGGBriefly review Action Items from last callFinished 2016 beta documentation; to be released soonUpdate on future-year projections (pdf)(Vukovich)Pathway to 2016v1 and discussion (Vukovich and all)Discussion points(pdf)(Vukovich)Next call is Monday, April 8, 2019 at 2PM ET, 12PM MT
Minutes/Notes
Roll CallAction Items from previous meeting discussedEPA Emissions Inventory Conference survey on training desires available2016 beta documentation complete; should be released later this weekUpdate on future-year projections givenSummaries to be provided soonDiscussed what to include in 2016v1Presentation with slides as starting pointWill seek more years of exploration data for future year projectionsOklahoma mentioned a variety of options projectionsCounty-to-county or basin-to basin factors based on agencies best judgement and supporting documentationTCEQ's Hubbert methodRamboll's effort to project certain basins in pastNatural Gas Liquids production expected to riseRamboll mentioned that the Oil and Gas Play table from AEO could be tried to help with finer scale projectionsTCEQ expressed a desire to breakdown the state historical data to county level so it can be used in projection process (e.g. 2016 to 2017) to better match up with EIA Oil and Gas Supply RegionsThere was less concern for overall "mass" balance (AEO forecast) and more concern to use best judgement locallyAEO forecasts have tended to be conservative in recent yearsND, SD, MT, UT, NM are just some states that have oil and gas activity on tribal lands
Action Items
Subgroup on future-year projections will continue to meet to examine historical exploration data listed below and any 2016v1 issues(Subgroup members)Release of 2016 beta documentation announcementProvide future-year emissions summaries
February 11, 2019
See:
Agenda
Roll callJanuary call was cancelled due to government shutdownReview Action Items from last 2016 O&G Workgroup callOil and Gas 2016beta Documentation (EPA, ERG)https://drive.google.com/open?id=1WBabk90IRQHhLDkkKl7QjdQXvKoW69aW(ERG reports)2016 Nonpoint Oil and Gas Emission Estimation Tool V1_0 December_2018.docxTech memo and supporting docs on new surrogates and monthly temporal profilesOil and Gas Tool files (EPA, ERG)ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/2016 Base Year Production and Exploration2014 and 2016 average Exploration: used for future year beta modelingOil and Gas 2016 beta inventory and reports/summaries (EPA)Non-point:https://drive.google.com/open?id=1jcMhFtwVN-gIK9fvFhoVtBj5MXrbsscSPoint:https://drive.google.com/open?id=1r9_kZdIRLeSvpdFdTzbP0iJkvnDczxKEWRAP Oil and Gas survey information (pdf)(Ramboll, Moore)Next call is Monday, Mar 11, 2019 at 2PM ET, 12PM MT
Minutes/Notes
Action Items from previous meeting discussed2016 beta documentation, Oil and Gas Tool and inventory data are now availablePlease let EPA know if you have trouble accessing data/docsState of NY plans to run Oil and Gas Tool and provide feedback/possible new emissionsExploration activity summary for 2014 and 2016 provided and discussedUnknown well spuds are put in the "Vertical" categoryWRAP survey info provided by Ramboll/WRAPmost likely will be a gathering of CURRENT data (2018ish)its use for year 2017 or other years can be determined laterSurvey results might be available for late spring
Action Items
Obtain historical exploration data for years 2011 to 2017 (EPA)Subgroup on future-year projections will continue to meet to examine historical exploration data listed below and any 2016v1 issues(Subgroup members)Continue working on 2016 beta documentation (Moore, Vukovich and others)Finish up future-year beta emissions (EPA,others)
December 10, 2018
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last 2016 O&G Workgroup callSubgroup on future-year projections will continue to meet and finalize recommendations for year 2023 and 2028 projections for beta release (Subgroup members)investigate use of historical drilling datainvestigate use of historical active well countsFinal 2016 beta base year emissions ready to be released (pdf)Updated emissions summaries:ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/Oil and Gas Tool files:ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/Surrogates and monthly profiles acquired and appliedFuture-year projections for beta version2016 beta documentation: need to get moving on this (Moore, Vukovich and others)2016v1 inventory: early thoughts?Next call is Monday, Jan 14, 2019 at 2PM ET, 12PM MT
Minutes/Notes
Action Items from previous meeting discussedAn update on the progress of obtaining/organizing the historical drilling and active wells data was providedDraft dataset may be made available soonYears 2011 to 2017 may be part of this datasetA summary of the year 2016 beta non-point inventory providedSee presentation in agendaOil and Gas Tool for 2016 made availableUpdated emissions summaries providedDiscussion of future-year emissions for beta by the group followedLooking into using year 2014 and 2016 historical exploration data for beta projectionsEarly thoughts on 2016v1 inventory priorities discussedTom Moore indicated a WRAP survey may be complete in time to provide updated information for emissions estimation for 2016v17-8 states involvedSchedule this survey coming soonTom Richardson (OK) indicated the desire to move towards higher spatial resolution future year projections (county,basin, TCEQ approach etc)WY will be examining 2014NEI vs. 2016 beta and other factors to determine how best to characterize oil and gas emissions for WY in 2016v1Workgroup member expressed to desire to learn more about the ancillary data (profiles, surrogates etc) used in emissions platform modeling for oil and gas sourcesTom Moore indicated that separating out state-regulated and federally-regulated (e.g. tribal lands) oil and gas emissions should be investigated
Action Items
Subgroup on future-year projections will continue to meet to examine data listed below and any beta version issues(Subgroup members)investigate use of historical drilling datainvestigate use of historical active well countsContinue working on 2016 beta documentation (Moore, Vukovich and others)Provide WRAP survey schedule (Moore)
November 5, 2018
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last 2016 O&G Workgroup callGenerate emissions reports for the 2016 Oil and Gas tool output before next workgroup meeting (Vukovich)Improve SCC description for the Artificial Lift SCC to indicate this is source related to the oil industry onlyMentioned this EPA Emissions Inventory staff; SCC description to be edited in some wayBegin working on 2016 beta documentation (Moore, Vukovich and others)Status of 2016 beta emissionsLatest O&G Tool emissions comparison (pdf)CO and OK recommendations for their 2016 beta emissions implementedUpdated emissions summaries:ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/New gridding surrogates and monthly profiles coming soonUpdate on future-year projections for beta versionSubgroup on future-year projections continued to meet and finalize recommendations for year 2023 and 2028 projections for beta release (Subgroup members)Action Items from subgroup (pdf)EIA report discussion:https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=37416Projections subgroup will make a list of possible tasks to assist with projections for 2016 version 1 (subgroup members)Examining historical drilling data and use for future-year projectionsNext call Dec 10th at 2PM ET, 12PM MT
Minutes/Notes
Action Items from previous meeting discussedDiscussion of status of 2016 beta emissionsLatest Tool results completed and summaries postedCO, OK and CA have specific inventoriesEPA contractor will generate report on 2016 Oil and Gas Tool workExamined NOX, CO, SO2, and VOC national summariesOhio commented that their QA of 2016 emissions went wellDiscussion of future-year projectionsRecent action items, historical drilling data and number of active wells data discussedGas vs oil and basin-by-basin differences importantBase 2016 beta to be finalized soon; loan tweak left possibly in PAFuture-year decision likely to be finalized on Dec 10th call
Action Items
Subgroup on future-year projections will continue to meet and finalize recommendations for year 2023 and 2028 projections for beta release (Subgroup members)investigate use of historical drilling datainvestigate use of historical active well countsFinalize 2016 beta base year emissions; possibly tweak with PA (EPA, PA and contractor)Generate more emissions reports for the 2016 beta emissions (Vukovich)including comparisons with 2014NEIv2 emissions estimatesContinue working on 2016 beta documentation (Moore, Vukovich and others)
October 15, 2018
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last 2016 O&G Workgroup callGenerate emissions report for most recent 2014/2016 point source inventory (Vukovich)Projections subgroup will make a list of possible tasks to assist with projections for 2016 version 1 (subgroup members)List which states submitted input data for Oil and Gas Tool work for 2014NEI (Snyder) (xls)Status of spreadsheet for States/MJOs/tribes submitted point and non-point source info (Tom Moore)Year 2016 beta non-point inventoryUpdate Oil and Gas Tool work on year 2016 (EPA and contractor)KS, OH and TX state-specific data feedback usedWaiting feedback from WV on activity/production-related data differencesNeed to include 2016 KS dataCARB submitted state-specific emissions but awaiting feedback after initial QAEmissions reports:ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/NOx analysis by subsector:ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/NOx_2014v2016_subsector_analysis.pdfNOx county plot :ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/fips_NOX_2016beta_EPA_data_only.pngVOC county plot:ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/fips_VOC_2016beta_EPA_data_only.pngState emissions workbook:ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/state_emissions_2016beta_EPA_vs_state_inputs.18Oct10.xlsxState-SCC emissions workbook:ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/oilgas/state_scc_emissions_2016beta_EPA_vs_state_inputs.18Oct10.xlsxFuture-year projections subgroup update (Moore)
Next Call is Monday Nov 5 at 2PM ET, 12PM MT
Minutes/Notes
Action Items from previous meeting discussedTom Moore provided an update on the information gathering process from states on point and nonpoint oil and gas sourcesStates can continue to send information to Tom so he can continue to organize it for the workgroupEPA and ERG provided an update on the 2016 Oil and Gas Tool emissions workdraft beta emissions provided by ERG last weekKS and WV will need to be updated soonreports were provide during Workgroup call but more reports will be provided soon (email update will be sent)if members have trouble accessing reports please let co-leaders know (Vukovich and Moore)CARB for year 2016 provided to EPA but in QA phaseThe Oil and Gas projections subgroup provided an update on draft methodology for beta releaseSubgroup will continue to meet this monthTom Moore mentioned that WRAP states will be conducting an oil and gas survey from Oct - Dec 2018 and may have results in Jan/Feb 2019New gridding surrogates for the oil and gas inventory will be provided in a couple of weeks along with 2016-specific monthly temporal profiles for this sector
Action Items
Subgroup on future-year projections will continue to meet and finalize recommendations for year 2023 and 2028 projections for beta release (Subgroup members)Continue to QA and improve emissions estimates with Oil and Gas Tool on year 2016 (EPA and contractor)Generate emissions reports for the 2016 Oil and Gas tool output before next workgroup meeting (Vukovich)including comparisons with 2014NEIv2 emissions estimatesProjections subgroup will make a list of possible tasks to assist with projections for 2016 version 1 (subgroup members)Improve SCC description for the Artificial Lift SCC to indicate this is source related to the oil industry onlyBegin working on 2016 beta documentation (Moore, Vukovich and others)
September 10, 2018
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last 2016 O&G Workgroup callStates/MJOs/tribes continue to provide input to this point source info spreadsheetSpreadsheet was also attached to meeting invite; submit to Tom Moore2016 Oil and Gas Tool work update (Vukovich, Snyder)Work has begunTentative schedule: Draft emissions ready week of Sept 17th, monthly temporal profiles ready Oct 12014/2016 point oil and gas inventory (Vukovich)Updated with latest 2016 input data plus latest WV dataFuture-year projections update (Moore, Vukovich, Richardson, others)Subgroup has met 3 timesReviewed v1 draft of Projections using Cluster ApproachHeard message about focusing projections on most important subcategories with largest emissionsNext Subgroup call is Friday Sept. 14th at 1000 AM MDTNext workgroup meeting is Oct 15 2PM ET, 12PM MT
Minutes/Notes
Action Items from previous meeting discussedWV, OH and TX have or will be submitting input data for 2016 Oil and Gas Tool processingTom Moore requested a list of which states submitted data for use in Oil and Gas Tool processing for 2014NEIThe 2016 point source inventory has been updated along with some recent WV correctionsThis point source inventory consists of year 2016 specific emissions but if a source hasn't been updated to 2016 then 2014NEIv2 emissions are usedTom Richardson, Jeff Vukovich and Tom Moore provided updates on the Projections subgroup progressBrian Timin (EPA) brought a few issues that need further analysis regarding how production vs. number of active wells relationship and conventional vs. unconventional wells.Dale Wells mentioned historical analysis of wells can be helpfulMost of the effort thus far has been with growth of sourcesSubgroup will make a list of possible tasks to assist with projections for 2016 version 1
Action Items
Subgroup on future-year projections will continue to meet and generate recommendations for year 2023 and 2028 projections for beta release (Subgroup members)Continue Oil and Gas Tool work on year 2016 (EPA and contractor)Generate emissions reports for most recent 2014/2016 point source inventory (Vukovich)Generate emissions reports for the 2016 Oil and Gas tool output before next workgroup meeting (Vukovich)List which states submitted input data for Oil and Gas Tool work for 2014NEI ( Snyder)Projections subgroup will make a list of possible tasks to assist with projections for 2016 version 1 (subgroup members)
August 13, 2018
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last 2016 O&G Workgroup callA subgroup on future-year projections formed (Co-leaders)Status of spreadsheet for States/MJOs/tribes submitted point and non-point source info (Tom Moore)Facility-Oriented Approach toEmissions and Projections (Tom Richardson, OK)https://drive.google.com/open?id=1wZtZtZT58lLRj4-fKzUPJ-2IXBc95gNx(presentation: pdf)2017-08-10 EPA EIS - Facility Source Type Code.xlsxWiki site (xls)https://drive.google.com/open?id=1QZticANwHKU95qdUuRPBXViQXigs-1Qw(Googe Drive copy)
Initial information about MARAMA O&G emissions projections approach (Tom Moore)
2016 Oil and Gas Tool task update (EPA)If time permits, early look at oil and gas production growth (Vukovich)Tentative schedule to beta releaseLate Aug: 2016 Oil and Gas tool beginsAug-Sep 10: Projections subgroup begins to compile recommendationsSep 10: Next workgroup call is 2PM ET, 12PM MTLate Sept-early Oct: 2016 Oil and Gas tool emissions availableOct 15: another workgroup call; Projections subgroup recommendations madeOct 31: Beta release due
Minutes/Notes
Action Items from previous meeting discussedTom Moore continues to collect point and non-point source information from statesTom Richardson's (OKDEQ) presentation highlighted many different issues when grouping oil and gas sources into the upstream/midstream/downstream binsPresented options for projecting to future yearsMARAMA's tools to project oil and gas sources discussedFuture year projections subgroup will meet very soonThe timeline to the 2016 beta release of the Oil and Gas emissions inventory was presented and discussed
Action Items
Subgroup on future-year projections to meet and generate recommendations for year 2023 and 2028 projections for beta release (Subgroup members)Begin Oil and Gas Tool work on year 2016 (EPA and contractor)States/MJOs/tribes continue to provide input to this point source info spreadsheetSpreadsheet was also attached to meeting invite; submit to Tom Moore
July 9, 2018
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last 2016 O&G Workgroup callSee compiled list of all NAICS-SCC combinations for point source inventory (Vukovich)ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/beta/draft_emissions/summaries/pt_oilgas/Emissions summaries by FIPS-NAICS-SCC, State-NAICS-SCC, and NAICS-SCCWorkgroup co-leaders did meet with NM staff about NM-specific email concern regarding point vs. non-point sources in their statePoint source info spreadsheet progressColorado, Texas have provided input: Thanks!Please fill out spreadsheet attached to meeting invite or here:https://drive.google.com/open?id=1NoRbrDgXxgFXwawjlDW028cPzPQCcrwW9ghbtonif2I
Future-year projection methods for oil and gas sourcesRecent USEPA method dated July 9, 2018 pdfTCEQ method dated July 9, 2018 pptxRamboll method dated July 9, 2018 pdfWorkgroup discussionFormation of projections sub-workgroup that will make recommendation(s) to the Workgroup next month for beta version useOther updates if time permits
Minutes/Notes
Action Items from previous meeting discussedTom Moore is updating the Point Source info spreadsheet with data from Colorado and TexasIf possible, States please continue to submit this info to Tom MooreTom Richardson (OK) has sent an email on "Methods on Estimating Emissions from Oil and Gas Sources" that needs to be discussed either via a subgroup or the entire workgroup or both.Jeff Vukovich briefly described EPA's current process to generate growth factors for O&G sourcesEPA's method documented in modeling TSD'sHistorical production data by state used with regional AEO forecast production data- Contact Michael Ege
(TCEQ) presented the Hubbert method and other TCEQ analysis slides Commodity pricing impacts briefly discussedApplying this method to other parts of the country was briefly discussed; unsure of how doable this is and resources necessaryRamboll (Grant and Bar-Ilan) presented numerous types of data and the issues involved in generating forecast O&G emissionsForecasting drilling schedules, active well count and production among the many data that would ideally need to be estimatedSpatial resolution down to basin, sub-basin or at play-level discussedEquipment turnover greater at basins where production rising quicklyA subgroup needs to be formed to come up with recommendations for projecting emissions to future years for beta version (Fall) and for the 2016 version 1 platform (early 2019)Doodle poll will be sent out asking for volunteers for this subgroupIt is unclear on the amount of resources available for projections, so perhaps keep it simple for beta version and try to improve for v1
Action Items
Follow-up with Tom Richardson (OK) regarding his recent email on estimating O&G emissions (Co-leaders, OK staff, others)States/MJOs/tribes continue to provide input to this point source info spreadsheet on Google Drive or by emailing workgroup co-leaders (ALL)Please fill out this spreadsheet here:https://drive.google.com/open?id=1NoRbrDgXxgFXwawjlDW028cPzPQCcrwW9ghbtonif2ISpreadsheet was also attached to meeting invite; submit to Tom MooreA subgroup on future-year projections will be formed (Co-leaders)Doodle poll to be sent out by Tom MooreSubgroup will meet to come up with recommendations for the beta version and early plans for 2016 version 1 projectionsNext Workgroup call is Monday, Aug 13 at 2PM ET, 12PM MT
June 11, 2018
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last 2016 O&G Workgroup callSee workgroup update email dated May 31stState-by-state point source inventory data in FF10 (SMOKE) format can be found here:ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/alpha/2016fd/emissions/sectors/pt_oilgas_state/
Plan for next 3 monthly calls (T. Moore and J Vukovich)Today = point sourcesJuly call = future year projections discussion/subgroup formedAug call = future year projections: recommendations for beta versionUpdate on 2016 point source oil and gas (Vukovich, Moore and Snyder)Update dated Jun 11, 2018 pdfMaps: Upstream in nonpoint vs. "upstream" in point source oil and gasTrends vs. 2014NEIv2Consideration of point sources in state EIs – reporting – permitted, registrationFinal 2016 point source data to be released soon (EPA)Summaries available here:https://drive.google.com/open?id=1EWPizFcUQXAh4S5hEtRWept2OU-aCDJ2Gathering info on point sources (Permit info/Registration/caps/etc) (T. Moore)
Update on possibility of using Oil and Gas Tool for 2016 (Vukovich, Snyder and Moore)Review availability of 2016 data from states that have directly submitted non-point data in the pastAlaska, California, Colorado, Michigan, New York, Michigan, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Wyoming, others?Next workgroup call is Monday July 9th, 2PM ET
Minutes/Notes
Content for the 3 workgroup calls were briefly discussed.List of NAICS codes is changing in 2017; must continue to realize this when examining 2016 point source emissionsNAICS 211112 for Natural Gas Liquids Extraction may not fall into the "upstream" emissions binRoslyn Higgin (NM) mentioned that the first 4 NAICS codes in the "upstream" bin in the meeting's pdf presentation are not "upstream" sources according to their state's inventoryRecommend looking at NAICS-SCC combinationsTom Moore present template for gathering point source info: permitting, registration, etc.After workgroup discussion, Tom Moore volunteered to modify the template based on that discussionUsing the Oil and Gas Tool to generate non-point emissions estimates for 2016 is looking likely occurDiscussion occurred where Jennifer Snyder explained her recent email requesting if states wanted to possibly use the emissions from this tool or if they had state-specific 2016 estimates or if they want to just pull forward the 2014NEIv2 inventory to 2016.NY indicated that some adjustments were made to the Oil and Gas tool for their state for 2014NEI; need to make sure those adjustments are used in 2016AK indicated concern with trying to come up with detailed 2016 Oil and Gas tool input data; EPA responded by saying that it is understood that this is a non-NEI year and it may not possible for states to do this. AK will likely just pull forward their 2014NEIv2 estimates to 2016.Jennifer Snyder (EPA) continues to gather up responses to her email dated June 6, 2018NM mentioned a recent email regarding point vs. nonpoint O&G sources for their state. Workgroup co-leaders will meet with NM soon about this.
Action Items
Compile all NAICS-SCC combinations for oil and gas point source inventory(Vukovich)Make any edits to the point source info xls presented during this call after discussion and make it available to all workgroup members via a Google document (Moore and Vukovich)States/MJOs/tribes provided input to this point source info spreadsheet on Google Drive or by emailing workgroup co-leaders (ALL)Please fill out this spreadsheet here:https://drive.google.com/open?id=1NoRbrDgXxgFXwawjlDW028cPzPQCcrwW9ghbtonif2IWorkgroup co-leaders meet with NM (Roslyn and Mark Jones) about NM-specific email concern regarding point vs. non-point sources in their state
May 14, 2018
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last 2016 O&G Workgroup callUpdated 2016 point source for oil and gas sources available (sector named pt_oilgas)ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/alpha/2016fd/emissions/Understanding the point source oil and gas sector in 2016 Emissions Modeling Platform (dated May 14, 2018)Comparison vs. 2014NEIv2Upstream and mid-stream sources in pt_oilgasDownstream (e.g. refineries) in non-EGU sector (named ptnonipm)States to reviewAction Items for pt_oilgas sector ?Complete point analysis for beta in JunePlan to move to nonpoint oil and gas sources – reporting, possible tool application, etc on June callSurvey update (Moore)Next call is on June 11 at 2PM ET
Minutes/Notes
Majority of call consisted of presenting the 2016 point source oil and gas inventory (pt_oilgas) after getting updates for 2016 emissions for some facilitiesUpstream, Mid-stream and downstream sources and their definitions were discussedNAICS codes do not always give clear definition of if a source is upstream or otherPrevious inventory studies have found exceptions where compressor stations with "upstream" NAICS was actually involved with transmission activities which could be mid-streamIt is important to classify upstream or midstream or downstream because of method/activity data used for growing emissions into futureAEO production forecast data can be used for growing upstream sources while maybe consumption forecasts for downstream/mid-streamPerhaps no growth for mid-stream is possible in some casesMembers suggested applying growth by NAICSmay need to make exceptions but just focused on major emittersSubject of possible double-counting situations with point and non-point sources were discussedOil and Gas Tool has an option for states to subtract out their point source emissions from non-point inventoryIf a 2016 Oil and Gas Tool inventory is generated, must keep track of upstream sources in point and non-point inventoriesWY and CO gave examples of the QA and process they go through to submit point sources and non-point sources for oil and gas.
Action Items_
Post pt_oilgas emissions summaries with year 2016 emissions update (Vukovich)Co-leads to generate outline for next 3 calls to get to beta version of inventory ( Moore and Vukovich)States/MJOs/others to quality assure the new point source inventory for 2016 point source (ALL)Are the major emitting facilities classified appropriately by NAICS code? Exceptions?Are the changes from 2014NEIv2 to 2016 levels OK?Provide feedback by JUNE 4, 2018All members continue to think about how best to grow and control emissions to future years 2023 and 2028 (ALL)
April 9, 2018
See:
Agenda
Roll callReview Action Items from last 2016 O&G Workgroup callSurvey overview (T. Moore)First Draft Outline(provided by Tom Moore)Survey discussion EI spreadsheet (provided by NYDEC)NYDEC input (Papageorgiou)OKDEQ input (Richardson)National Committee Review docsDiscussionHow point source oil and gas inventory sources extracted from entire NEI point source inventory? (Vukovich)NAICS codes used to pull out these sources from NEI all point source datasetDividing up the NEI point source data for modeling platform purposes (dated April 9, 2018)Update on Year 2016 point source inventory for oil and gas sourcesMore QA reports available in QA folder on Google DriveCase study: issues that will come up when projecting an oil and gas inventory to a future year (Vukovich)
Minutes/Notes
Roll call was completedAction Items from previous call reviewedTom Moore presented an outline of the survey timeline along with the other milestones for the workgroupNYDEC provided survey input and related-document made available in the agenda for the callOKDEQ also provided survey input and QA/QC-related infoThe National Oil and Gas Analysis project and the different documents available were discussedVukovich presented how EPA typically divides up the NEI point sources inventory and how it impacts oil and gas sourcesDiscussion about NAICS codes being updated in year 2017QA reports are available in QA folder on Google DriveLast agenda item will be moved to next callNext meeting Mon. May 14th 2PM ET
Action Items
Members to continue to review the charge document before next call (ALL)Please continue to send Tom Moore survey ideas (ALL)Members to continue to review alpha version of the 2016 oil and gas inventory (ALL)Send QA steps that you perform and feedback to co-chairs please!Provide outline/plan for generating beta version inventories for years 2016, 2023 and 2028 ( Moore and Vukovich)EPA year 2016 point source inventory for oil and gas will be made available to workgroup before next call (Vukovich)
March 12, 2018
See:
Agenda
Introductions, roll call – name, daily job responsibilities with respect to oil and gas issues, agencyset up regular meeting times for workgroupsuggest second Monday of month at 2PM ET (like this kickoff mtg time)build agenda for monthly calls based on a 60-min. durationCollaboration mission: Develop a year 2016 Emissions Modeling PlatformReview draft Charge Document for the WorkgroupDiscuss timeframe for review and edits, finalize on next callhttps://drive.google.com/open?id=1gSPGuunaE5J5Xbm2Cj11C72j6bq4zwdUBsV9MMBpiKE
Using the 2016 EMP Wiki and Google document foldersOil and Gas Workgroup wiki pageGoogle Drive Oil and Gas Workgroup FolderReview Alignment between 2016 EMP and 2017 NEI for O&G sources document2016 Oil and Gas Alpha version brief summary2014NEIv2ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2014/v2/2014fd/emissions/Optional projected 2016ftp://newftp.epa.gov/Air/emismod/2016/alpha/2016fd/emissions/
Minutes/Notes
Roll call was completedMonthly calls will be on second Monday of the month at 2PM ETHOWEVER next call on April 9th at 1230PM ET to accommodate a MJO/state meeting conflict on that day2016 Collaborative EMP development was summarizedThe Oil and Gas Workgroup charge document was summarizedTom Moore summarizes the Alignment between 2016 EMP and 2017 NEI for O&G sources documentTom introduced possible survey ideasPossibly come from the states/MJOs on the workgroup and voluntaryDiscussion of beta and version 1 of 2016 O&G inventories and scheduleAlpha version of the O&G sources inventory was explained and discussedEPA should have a year 2016 point source O&G inventory in late March or early AprilTom Moore(WRAP)/John Grant (Ramboll) mentioned that a review of the point and non-point O&G sources report is availableGroup discussed methodologies to project sources from 2014 to 2016Alpha version used historical production state data from EIAProjection factors were provided on Google Drive Oil and Gas folderModelers have option to use NEI2014v2 or projected 2016 inventory in AQ modeling applications
Action Items
Members to review the charge document before next callMembers to review the Alignment 2016 EMP-2017 NEI documentSurvey ideas to be sent to Tom Moore before next callEPA to provide NAICS codes used to determine which point sources belong in the point source O&G sector (Vukovich)Provide links to the National Committee review docs (T. Moore)